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Carol-Ann Lamothe's avatar

Do you think it is the start of the US failing? I watch their stock market. With other countries pulling away, that could be a signal.

Trump seems very focused on Canada failing. I heard him say today that Canada is not doing very well. He sites our relationship with China now being a bad sign. He tries to cause problems with our Quebec Bombardier made aircraft and not certifying them. Just got to love that man Trump!!! Other countries are moving away from the US as trade partners. I think our PM Carney is just the leader we need now. Thanks Fred

Fred Ferguson (GeezerWise)'s avatar

Carol-Ann, I don’t think the U.S. is “failing” in the collapse-of-Rome sense…

but I do think we’re watching something quieter and more structural happen.

Big difference.

It’s not a crash.

It’s erosion.

For decades the U.S. was the default partner... trade, defense, supply chains, everything.

Now countries are doing something very simple...

They’re diversifying.

Not panicking.

Not attacking.

Just… not putting all their eggs in one basket anymore.

When allies start “packing a backup bag,” it usually means trust has slipped.

And honestly, who can blame them?

Between tariff threats, trade bullying, and the daily political circus around Donald Trump, a lot of countries are thinking...

“Maybe we shouldn’t be 100% dependent on this.”

That’s not anti-American.

That’s just adult risk management.

As for Canada... the pressure on things like Bombardier aircraft approvals and constant chirping about us “failing” feels more like negotiation tactics than reality.

If you repeat “Canada is weak” often enough, you hope markets believe it.

But facts matter.

Our economy is stable.

Our banking system is stronger than theirs.

And leadership that plays chess instead of Twitter helps.

That’s why I’m pretty comfortable with Mark Carney at the wheel right now.

So no... not U.S. collapse.

More like...

“The world is quietly building Plan B.”

And honestly?

That’s just smart.

— Fred

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Jan 31
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Fred Ferguson (GeezerWise)'s avatar

Everybody watches the stock market like it’s hockey.

The real game’s in the bond market.

And right now?

Japan just slid $61.9B off the table and walked away from United States Department of the Treasury paper.

When the bank starts leaving the party…

the music’s about to stop.

Follow the money.

It always runs before the headlines.