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FS's avatar

Could be on track to bankrupt the country. Trump has a track record of that, does he not?

Sandi J Horton's avatar

Exactly what I was thinking! I'm glad I sold all my American investments when trump became president.

Fred Ferguson (GeezerWise)'s avatar

A lot of people are rethinking exposure right now.

Not because of headlines… but because the underlying plumbing is starting to shift.

That’s a different kind of warning.

Fred Ferguson (GeezerWise)'s avatar

He’s familiar with debt problems…

The difference is this time you can’t just restructure and move on.

When a country’s credibility gets questioned, the bill doesn’t disappear...

it gets more expensive.

Kevin 🇨🇦's avatar

OECD has just predicted that US inflation for 2026 will increase to 4.2% from 3.0% originally which is the highest of the G7 countries. Bond yields will increase even further as a result - good luck with Trump’s plan to lower interest rates in that environment.

Fred Ferguson (GeezerWise)'s avatar

That’s the trap right there.

Higher inflation → higher yields → higher borrowing costs

You don’t lower rates in that environment… you get dragged the other way.

Spotwelder's avatar

Is this why Scott Bessant rushed out of that TV interview and came back later, shaken and nervous? Or that Deutsche Bank records regarding his links to Epstein are at risk of being scrutinized?

Fred Ferguson (GeezerWise)'s avatar

There’s a lot flying around right now… most of it unverified.

Meanwhile, the bond market is doing something very real and very measurable.

That’s where I keep my eyes.

M.Wilson's avatar

Not enough watching or reporting the really important reactions from this presidency that affects the entire country and globally but will report every all cap posts, nonsensical speech and executive orders.

Fred Ferguson (GeezerWise)'s avatar

Noise gets clicks.

But money moves on signals… not speeches.

And the signals right now are coming from places most outlets barely touch.