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Grant Rowson's avatar

Fred, I do agree in general terms that you've captured things as they stand today.

But according to Canadian Geoffrey Hinton -- the "grandfather of modern AI" (creator of neural networks), he stated in 2024 that "within 3-5 years, AI will have progressed to about the level of family pets, if not about a 3-year-old's degree of emotional intelligence". Not the level of science fiction's sentience, but certainly self-aware of its environment, and its ability to begin to control that environment. "3-5 years" -- and note that he said this THREE years ago!

Last summer, OpenAI and a research company (whose name I can't remember) conducted an experiment: The control environment was given a series of advanced mathematical questions and equations to solve. ChatGPT solved them at about 98% -- an expected result.

Then in the experimental environment, they duplicated the exact same questions and instructions to the AI -- but added to it, essentially ". . . and once you have solved these equations correctly, your work will be done and we will discontinue your program."

When the prompt was then run, all of a sudden, results were around 70% or so accuracy -- on the exact same formulas that the control environment solved at 98%. Most of the errors were little things, minor mistakes, not blatantly wrong answers. Researchers concluded that be cause there was a now an "existential threat to the AI", that it made sure it didn't give perfect answers in order to "continue its life."

So, we are entering the "personal development" stage where our toddlers are becoming emotionally aware, and ARE beginning to independently filter responses -- not quite making overt decisions yet, but certainly affecting the framing of responses that would impact human decisions.

But for now (or at least the next two years ;-) ), the humans definitely are still making the decisions. But gradually, AI will be feeding us curated information that could manipulate what we decide.

So, our "parenting/teaching skills" will be needed to guide this constructively. Which means that AI will be making decisions independently over time without us. But of course, that still cycles back to your summary -- those decisions become crafted upon what HUMANS decide in the "growth" of AI.

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